← Segunda División 2006-07 · Sat, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules win | 38% | 2.37 |
| Ciudad de Murcia win | 31% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hercules | Ciudad de Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1450.52 | 1508.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.32 | -0.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| league points | 46.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.49 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.03 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |