← Segunda División 2006-07 · Sun, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
| Murcia win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 302.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1633.05 | 1572.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.40 | 30.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| league points | 77.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.26 | 1.94 |
| state index | 1.36 | 0.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |