← Segunda División 2003-04 · Sun, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.62 |
| Almeria win | 31% | 2.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1436.81 | 1554.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.77 | -2.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 42.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |