← Segunda División 2003-04 · Sun, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| Eibar win | 16% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1581.10 | 1498.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.98 | -20.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.56 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 62.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.39 |
| state index | 1.20 | -0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |