← Serie B 2015-16 · Fri, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari Calcio win | 39% | 50% | 2.47 | value: +24% |
| Draw | 35% | 27% | 2.80 | fair |
| PRO Vercelli win | 26% | 23% | 3.79 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PRO Vercelli | Cagliari Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 354.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1417.37 | 1598.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.70 | 6.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 46.00 | 80.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.95 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |