← Serie B 2015-16 · Fri, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 48% | 47% | 2.03 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.45 | fair |
| Trapani win | 24% | 25% | 4.04 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Trapani |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 171.00 | 446.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1516.50 | 1567.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.47 | 29.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 68.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |