← Serie B 2015-16 · Sat, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRO Vercelli win | 37% | 37% | 2.61 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 28% | 3.01 | fair |
| Trapani win | 31% | 34% | 3.12 | value: +7% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PRO Vercelli | Trapani |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 433.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1400.81 | 1554.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.13 | 36.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 42.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.69 |
| state index | -0.77 | 0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |