← Serie B 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella win | 35% | 43% | 2.78 | value: +21% |
| Pescara win | 34% | 28% | 2.91 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 28% | 3.12 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 395.00 | 669.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1501.62 | 1536.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.00 | 47.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 60.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.68 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.61 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |