← Serie B 2015-16 · Tue, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 39% | 44% | 2.49 | value: +8% |
| Draw | 31% | 29% | 3.17 | fair |
| Vicenza win | 30% | 28% | 3.25 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Vicenza |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 658.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1356.78 | 1441.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.99 | 25.73 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 36.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |