← Serie B 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRO Vercelli win | 42% | 48% | 2.33 | value: +13% |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | 3.29 | fair |
| Salernitana win | 28% | 24% | 3.43 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PRO Vercelli | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 655.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1408.87 | 1353.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.40 | 1.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 39.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |