← Serie B 2015-16 · Sun, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 44% | 36% | 2.20 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.25 | fair |
| PRO Vercelli win | 26% | 34% | 3.82 | value: +29% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | PRO Vercelli |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1164.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1312.54 | 1409.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.58 | 17.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 27.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.12 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |