← Serie B 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 42% | 37% | 2.33 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 32% | 3.28 | value: +5% |
| Latina win | 28% | 31% | 3.43 | value: +7% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Latina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 648.00 | 160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1342.43 | 1442.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.51 | 0.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| league points | 32.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.15 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |