← Serie B 2015-16 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pescara win | 62% | 73% | 1.56 | value: +13% |
| Draw | 23% | 18% | 4.23 | fair |
| Como 1907 win | 15% | 10% | 6.72 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 641.00 | 1156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1489.17 | 1316.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -68.26 | 16.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 49.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.82 |
| state index | -1.37 | -0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |