← Serie B 2015-16 · Sat, Mar 26, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 39% | 39% | 2.49 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 31% | 3.18 | fair |
| Vicenza win | 30% | 30% | 3.23 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Vicenza |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 146.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1389.76 | 1405.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.61 | -43.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| league points | 36.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.97 |
| state index | -0.48 | -1.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |