← Serie B 2014-15 · Fri, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza win | 68% | 39% | 1.42 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 31% | 4.81 | value: +47% |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 11% | 30% | 8.60 | value: +160% ⚠ |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vicenza | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1298.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1518.39 | 1527.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.66 | 42.24 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| league points | 65.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.73 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |