← Serie B 2014-15 · Sat, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna FC 1909 win | 39% | 45% | 2.49 | value: +13% |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | 3.04 | fair |
| PRO Vercelli win | 29% | 22% | 3.39 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PRO Vercelli | Bologna FC 1909 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1415.84 | 1558.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.13 | -6.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 48.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |