← Serie B 2014-15 · Sat, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latina win | 42% | 40% | 2.32 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 35% | 3.12 | value: +9% |
| Bari win | 27% | 25% | 3.66 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Latina | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 125.00 | 189.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1495.12 | 1492.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.50 | 11.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 46.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.31 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.13 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |