← Serie B 2014-15 · Sat, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza win | 56% | 50% | 1.75 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 31% | 3.51 | value: +9% |
| Virtus Entella win | 16% | 19% | 5.98 | value: +12% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vicenza | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1518.32 | 1430.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.41 | -40.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 62.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.11 |
| state index | -0.01 | -1.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |