← Serie B 2014-15 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latina win | 37% | 37% | 2.66 | fair |
| Draw | 33% | 34% | 3.00 | value: +3% |
| PRO Vercelli win | 31% | 28% | 3.17 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PRO Vercelli | Latina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1396.79 | 1487.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.30 | -23.27 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| league points | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |