← Serie B 2014-15 · Tue, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 39% | 42% | 2.52 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 33% | 32% | 2.97 | fair |
| Latina win | 28% | 27% | 3.43 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Latina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1260.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1473.53 | 1508.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.79 | -1.74 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| league points | 54.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |