← Serie B 2014-15 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 39% | 44% | 2.53 | value: +11% |
| Pescara win | 32% | 31% | 3.06 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 25% | 3.32 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1257.00 | 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1463.57 | 1521.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.02 | -3.82 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 51.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.41 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |