← Serie B 2014-15 · Thu, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRO Vercelli win | 37% | 32% | 2.67 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | 3.05 | fair |
| Vicenza win | 31% | 37% | 3.11 | value: +14% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PRO Vercelli | Vicenza |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1390.36 | 1518.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.27 | -1.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.96 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.58 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |