← Serie B 2013-14 · Sun, May 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 50% | 53% | 1.96 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.35 | fair |
| Ternana win | 21% | 17% | 4.61 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1455.92 | 1660.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.68 | 5.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 48.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 2.05 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.88 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |