← Serie B 2013-14 · Sun, May 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 47% | 29% | 2.05 | fair |
| Empoli win | 39% | 42% | 2.44 | fair |
| Cittadella win | 14% | 29% | 6.93 | value: +98% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 693.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1441.79 | 1584.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.27 | 32.37 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 45.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.70 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |