← Serie B 2013-14 · Sun, May 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 41% | 32% | 2.38 | fair |
| Draw | 34% | 36% | 2.86 | value: +4% |
| Latina win | 25% | 31% | 3.92 | value: +23% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Latina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 631.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1526.94 | 1529.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.31 | -17.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 65.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.60 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |