← Serie B 2013-14 · Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latina win | 59% | 41% | 1.63 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 33% | 3.85 | value: +29% |
| Juve Stabia win | 15% | 25% | 6.25 | value: +59% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Latina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1979.00 | 244.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1312.16 | 1533.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.93 | 26.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 17.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.47 | 1.58 |
| state index | -1.93 | 0.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |