← Serie B 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trapani win | 63% | 61% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 4.45 | fair |
| Juve Stabia win | 16% | 16% | 6.21 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trapani | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1760.00 | 1972.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1502.71 | 1319.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.26 | -19.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 49.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.49 |
| state index | -0.75 | -1.77 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |