← Serie B 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 36% | 41% | 2.66 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 35% | 37% | 2.77 | fair |
| Latina win | 28% | 22% | 3.41 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Latina | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 237.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1546.08 | 1654.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.88 | 21.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 57.00 | 72.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 2.06 |
| state index | 0.47 | 1.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |