← Serie B 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 67% | 55% | 1.45 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 26% | 4.39 | value: +12% |
| Juve Stabia win | 11% | 19% | 9.24 | value: +75% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 407.00 | 1958.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1526.86 | 1322.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.39 | -27.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 45.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.48 |
| state index | 0.57 | -1.75 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |