← Serie B 2012-13 · Sun, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 39% | 38% | 2.49 | fair |
| Juve Stabia win | 31% | 33% | 3.19 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 30% | 29% | 3.23 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 266.00 | 1574.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1459.72 | 1481.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.10 | -26.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| league points | 37.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.28 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.71 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |