← Serie B 2011-12 · Sat, May 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 37% | 37% | 2.55 | fair |
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 32% | 30% | 2.88 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 33% | 3.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | US Sassuolo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1272.00 | 603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1527.73 | 1580.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.20 | 18.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 61.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.88 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |