← Serie B 2011-12 · Sat, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 49% | 32% | 1.91 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 36% | 3.20 | value: +16% |
| Juve Stabia win | 22% | 31% | 4.33 | value: +36% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1258.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1527.71 | 1608.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.34 | 41.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 58.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.64 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |