← Serie B 2011-12 · Sat, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza win | 39% | 36% | 2.40 | fair |
| Modena win | 31% | 32% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 32% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vicenza | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2895.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1369.84 | 1497.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.13 | 23.69 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| league points | 34.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.26 |
| state index | -1.53 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |