← Serie B 2011-12 · Fri, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza win | 37% | 33% | 2.60 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 30% | 3.00 | fair |
| Juve Stabia win | 31% | 38% | 3.00 | value: +13% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vicenza | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1222.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1398.98 | 1516.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.51 | 6.94 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| league points | 32.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.42 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |