← Serie B 2010-11 · Sat, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 41% | 36% | 2.25 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 32% | 3.25 | value: +4% |
| Vicenza win | 29% | 31% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Vicenza |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1365.42 | 1436.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.66 | -21.96 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 35.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 1.29 |
| state index | -1.13 | -0.95 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |