← Serie B 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino FC win | 59% | 53% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.40 | fair |
| Piacenza win | 15% | 18% | 6.50 | value: +20% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Torino FC | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 484.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1507.59 | 1418.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.55 | -57.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 52.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.14 |
| state index | 0.41 | -1.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |