← Serie B 2010-11 · Thu, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pescara win | 46% | 52% | 2.00 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | 3.10 | fair |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 24% | 20% | 3.80 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 475.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1402.80 | 1372.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.24 | -3.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 48.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.94 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.95 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |