← Serie B 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 35% | 35% | 2.70 | fair |
| Draw | 34% | 35% | 2.75 | fair |
| Portogruaro win | 31% | 30% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portogruaro | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 640.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1438.38 | 1484.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.71 | -11.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 36.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.45 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |