← Serie B 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 53% | 33% | 1.70 | fair |
| Pescara win | 31% | 43% | 3.00 | value: +30% |
| Crotone win | 16% | 24% | 6.00 | value: +42% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 456.00 | 2192.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1380.49 | 1435.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.44 | 3.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 42.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.16 |
| state index | -1.08 | -0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |