← Serie B 2010-11 · Fri, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino FC win | 62% | 51% | 1.50 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | 3.80 | value: +6% |
| Grosseto win | 13% | 21% | 7.00 | value: +45% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Torino FC | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 455.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1492.30 | 1475.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.37 | 20.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 5.96 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |