← Serie B 2009-10 · Mon, May 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Padova win | 78% | 1.18 |
| Draw | 12% | 9.00 |
| Ascoli win | 10% | 9.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Padova | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1419.38 | 1478.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.11 | 18.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 42.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.38 |
| state index | -0.92 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |