← Serie B 2009-10 · Sat, May 8, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 53% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Padova win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Padova |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 676.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1495.31 | 1429.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.51 | -9.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 62.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.11 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.99 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |