← Serie B 2009-10 · Sat, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38% | 2.40 |
| Cittadella win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Modena win | 30% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2160.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1427.68 | 1547.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.69 | 38.87 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 47.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.62 |
| state index | -0.90 | 0.93 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |