← Serie B 2009-10 · Sat, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 42% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 37% | 2.50 |
| Brescia win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 412.00 | 198.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1555.31 | 1539.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.13 | 10.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| league points | 63.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.66 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |