← Serie B 2008-09 · Mon, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ancona win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.75 |
| Cittadella win | 25% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ancona | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1380.05 | 1440.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.45 | 7.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 42.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| state index | -0.99 | -0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |