← Serie B 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno win | 63% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Modena win | 11% | 10.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1575.00 | 1789.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1550.42 | 1418.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.96 | 5.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 59.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |