← Serie B 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mantova win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.90 |
| Ancona win | 18% | 5.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mantova | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2118.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1445.32 | 1388.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.97 | -6.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 41.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.73 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |