← Serie B 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Avellino win | 52% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Messina win | 20% | 4.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Avellino | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1754.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1358.82 | 1390.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.73 | -19.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 30.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.20 |
| state index | -0.88 | -1.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |