← Serie B 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.80 |
| Modena win | 27% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1411.00 | 651.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1438.58 | 1608.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.48 | 9.85 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 38.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.94 |
| state index | -1.15 | 0.59 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |