← Serie B 2006-07 · Sat, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36% | 2.55 |
| Modena win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Mantova win | 28% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1075.00 | 1411.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1467.07 | 1545.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.96 | -0.91 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 40.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.62 |
| state index | 0.00 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |